feat: add χ² fitter and C(W) shape factor extraction modules

Add CurveFitter with scipy least_squares, configurable loss functions
(soft_l1, huber, cauchy), profile likelihood, confidence intervals, and
goodness-of-fit metrics. Add CWExtractor for extracting shape factors
from beta spectra via Kurie analysis, parametrization fitting, and
g_V/g_A extraction. Includes 32 new tests (18 fitter + 14 CW extractor).
Bump version to 0.3.0.
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# tests/test_fitter.py — Tests for χ² minimization framework
"""
Why test this?
--------------
The fitter is the core numerical tool for extracting physical parameters
from beta spectra. It must be correct because all downstream results
(g_V, g_A, C(W) extraction) depend on it.
We test:
1. Basic χ² minimization on known functions (quadratic, linear).
2. Covariance matrix estimation (should match input uncertainties).
3. Confidence interval computation via profile likelihood.
4. Goodness-of-fit metrics (χ²/ndf, p-value).
5. Bounds handling and convergence diagnostics.
6. Robust loss functions (soft_l1, huber) for outlier resistance.
"""
import numpy as np
from beta_spectrum import CurveFitter, FitConfig
class TestBasicFitting:
"""Test χ² minimization on simple known functions."""
def test_quadratic_fit(self):
"""Fit y = a + b·x + c·x² with known coefficients."""
np.random.seed(42)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 50)
true_params = [1.0, 2.0, -0.1]
y = true_params[0] + true_params[1] * x + true_params[2] * x**2
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.5, len(x))
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a + b * x + c * x**2
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(y) * 0.5)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0, 0.0])
for i, name in enumerate(["a", "b", "c"]):
assert (
abs(result.parameters[i] - true_params[i]) < 0.5
), f"Parameter {name}: expected {true_params[i]}, got {result.parameters[i]}"
assert result.success, "Fit should converge"
assert result.chi2 > 0, "χ² must be positive"
def test_linear_fit(self):
"""Fit y = a + b·x with known coefficients."""
np.random.seed(123)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
true_a, true_b = 3.0, -1.5
y = true_a + true_b * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.2, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(y) * 0.2)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
assert abs(result.parameters[0] - true_a) < 0.3
assert abs(result.parameters[1] - true_b) < 0.3
assert result.success
def test_constant_fit(self):
"""Fit y = a (constant) with known value."""
np.random.seed(456)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 40)
true_a = 5.0
y = np.full_like(x, true_a)
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.3, len(x))
def model(x, a):
return np.full_like(x, a)
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.3)
result = fitter.fit([0.0])
assert abs(result.parameters[0] - true_a) < 0.2
assert result.success
class TestCovarianceEstimation:
"""Test that covariance matrix is correctly estimated."""
def test_covariance_matches_uncertainty(self):
"""For a constant model, parameter error should match input σ."""
np.random.seed(789)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 50)
true_a = 5.0
sigma = 0.5
y = np.full_like(x, true_a, dtype=float)
y += np.random.normal(0, sigma, len(x))
def model(x, a):
return np.full_like(x, a)
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * sigma)
result = fitter.fit([0.0])
error = np.sqrt(result.covariance[0, 0])
# Expected error: σ / sqrt(N)
expected_error = sigma / np.sqrt(len(x))
assert (
abs(error - expected_error) < expected_error * 0.3
), f"Covariance error {error:.4f} != expected {expected_error:.4f}"
def test_covariance_matrix_positive_definite(self):
"""Covariance matrix must be positive definite."""
np.random.seed(321)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 2.0 + 1.5 * x - 0.3 * x**2
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.2, len(x))
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a + b * x + c * x**2
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.2)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0, 0.0])
# Check eigenvalues are non-negative
eigvals = np.linalg.eigvalsh(result.covariance)
assert np.all(eigvals >= -1e-10), f"Covariance not positive definite: {eigvals}"
def test_correlation_matrix(self):
"""Correlation matrix should have 1.0 on diagonal."""
np.random.seed(654)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 50)
y = 1.0 + 2.0 * x + 0.1 * x**2
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.5, len(x))
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a + b * x + c * x**2
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.5)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0, 0.0])
diag = np.diag(result.correlation_matrix)
assert np.allclose(
diag, 1.0, atol=1e-6
), f"Diagonal of correlation matrix: {diag}"
class TestGoodnessOfFit:
"""Test χ²/ndf and p-value calculations."""
def test_chi2_per_dof(self):
"""χ²/ndof should be positive and reasonable."""
np.random.seed(111)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 50)
y = 2.0 * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.3, len(x))
def model(x, a):
return a * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.3)
result = fitter.fit([0.0])
assert result.chi2_per_dof > 0
assert result.n_points == 50
assert result.n_free == 1
assert result.n_free == 1
def test_p_value_range(self):
"""p-value should be in [0, 1]."""
np.random.seed(222)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 1.0 + x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
assert 0.0 <= result.p_value <= 1.0
def test_p_value_good_fit(self):
"""Good fit should have reasonable p-value."""
np.random.seed(333)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 100)
y = 3.0 + 1.5 * x - 0.05 * x**2
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.2, len(x))
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a + b * x + c * x**2
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.2)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0, 0.0])
assert (
result.p_value > 0.001
), f"Good fit should have reasonable p-value, got {result.p_value}"
class TestBounds:
"""Test parameter bounds handling."""
def test_lower_bound(self):
"""Test that lower bounds are respected."""
np.random.seed(444)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 2.0 + 1.0 * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([1.5, 0.5], bounds=([1.0, 0.0], [10.0, 5.0]))
assert (
result.parameters[0] >= 1.0
), f"Parameter a should be >= 1.0, got {result.parameters[0]}"
assert (
result.parameters[1] >= 0.0
), f"Parameter b should be >= 0.0, got {result.parameters[1]}"
def test_upper_bound(self):
"""Test that upper bounds are respected."""
np.random.seed(555)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 0.5 + 0.5 * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([0.5, 0.5], bounds=([0.0, 0.0], [1.0, 1.0]))
assert result.parameters[0] <= 1.0
assert result.parameters[1] <= 1.0
class TestRobustLoss:
"""Test robust loss functions for outlier resistance."""
def test_soft_l1_loss(self):
"""soft_l1 loss should handle outliers better than linear."""
np.random.seed(666)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 50)
y = 1.0 + 2.0 * x
y[25] = 50.0 # Add outlier
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
# Linear loss — outlier pulls fit away
config_linear = FitConfig(loss="linear")
fitter_linear = CurveFitter(
model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 1.0, config=config_linear
)
result_linear = fitter_linear.fit([0.0, 0.0])
# soft_l1 loss — outlier has less influence
config_robust = FitConfig(loss="soft_l1")
fitter_robust = CurveFitter(
model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 1.0, config=config_robust
)
result_robust = fitter_robust.fit([0.0, 0.0])
# Robust fit should be closer to true slope
assert (
abs(result_robust.parameters[1] - 2.0)
< abs(result_linear.parameters[1] - 2.0) * 1.5
), "Robust loss should handle outliers better"
class TestFitResult:
"""Test FitResult dataclass methods."""
def test_parameters_with_errors(self):
"""parameters_with_errors should return dict of (value, error)."""
np.random.seed(777)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 2.0 + x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
errors = result.parameters_with_errors
assert len(errors) == 2
for key, (val, err) in errors.items():
assert isinstance(val, float)
assert isinstance(err, float)
assert err >= 0
def test_summary(self):
"""summary() should return a non-empty string."""
np.random.seed(888)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 1.0 + 2.0 * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
summary = result.summary(param_names=["a", "b"])
assert "Fit Results" in summary
assert "a" in summary
assert "b" in summary
assert "χ²" in summary
assert "Converged" in summary
def test_residuals_property(self):
"""residuals should be data - model."""
np.random.seed(999)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 2.0 + x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
expected_residuals = y - result.model_values
np.testing.assert_allclose(result.residuals, expected_residuals)
class TestFitConfig:
"""Test FitConfig options."""
def test_custom_config(self):
"""Custom FitConfig should be respected."""
np.random.seed(101)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 1.0 + x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
config = FitConfig(
method="trf",
max_nfev=500,
loss="linear",
ftol=1e-10,
)
fitter = CurveFitter(
model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1, config=config
)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
assert result.success
class TestConfidenceIntervals:
"""Test confidence interval computation."""
def test_95_percent_ci(self):
"""95% CI should contain the true parameter value."""
np.random.seed(202)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 60)
true_a, true_b = 2.0, 1.5
y = true_a + true_b * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.3, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.3)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
ci_a = result.confidence_interval(0, confidence=0.95)
ci_b = result.confidence_interval(1, confidence=0.95)
assert ci_a[0] <= true_a <= ci_a[1], f"True a={true_a} not in CI {ci_a}"
assert ci_b[0] <= true_b <= ci_b[1], f"True b={true_b} not in CI {ci_b}"
def test_ci_width_increases_with_confidence(self):
"""Higher confidence level → wider interval."""
np.random.seed(303)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 40)
y = 1.0 + 2.0 * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.2, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.2)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0])
ci_90 = result.confidence_interval(0, confidence=0.90)
ci_95 = result.confidence_interval(0, confidence=0.95)
width_90 = ci_90[1] - ci_90[0]
width_95 = ci_95[1] - ci_95[0]
assert (
width_95 > width_90
), f"95% CI width {width_95} should be > 90% width {width_90}"
class TestEdgeCases:
"""Test edge cases and error handling."""
def test_zero_uncertainties_filtered(self):
"""Points with zero uncertainty should be filtered out."""
x = np.array([1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0])
y = np.array([2.0, 4.0, 6.0, 8.0])
unc = np.array([1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0])
def model(x, a):
return a * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=unc)
assert len(fitter.x_data) == 2, "Zero-uncertainty points should be removed"
assert len(fitter.y_data) == 2
def test_negative_uncertainties_filtered(self):
"""Points with negative uncertainty should be filtered out."""
x = np.array([1.0, 2.0, 3.0])
y = np.array([2.0, 4.0, 6.0])
unc = np.array([1.0, -1.0, 1.0])
def model(x, a):
return a * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=unc)
assert len(fitter.x_data) == 2
def test_unbounded_parameters(self):
"""Unbounded parameters (±inf) should work."""
np.random.seed(404)
x = np.linspace(0, 5, 30)
y = 1.0 + 2.0 * x
y += np.random.normal(0, 0.1, len(x))
def model(x, a, b):
return a + b * x
fitter = CurveFitter(model, x, y, uncertainties=np.ones_like(x) * 0.1)
result = fitter.fit([0.0, 0.0], bounds=([-np.inf, -np.inf], [np.inf, np.inf]))
assert result.success